LA Tech vs Mississippi State game 11-3 Seems Like Easy Money

FREE Pick: Bet LA Tech +23 @ Miss State

By: Peter Egan of WePick.com (Read More on WePick.com)

Bet LA Tech (+23) to Beat the Spread at Miss State

One thing I can absolutely guarantee about the game between Louisiana Tech and Mississippi State on November 03, 2018, is that the Bulldogs are as safe a bet as I’ve seen all year.

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs that is to say. Louisiana Tech has been an underrated football team all year. The thought of picking against them as a 23-point underdog to a one-dimensional football team whose offense has scored 7 or fewer points in three of it’s last five games is difficult to fathom.

Mississippi State vs LA Tech Betting Advice Sports Picks

Vegas has been artificially high on Mississippi State at times this season, most recently the weekend before last against LSU, when the line broke sharply toward MSU as kickoff approached. LSU easily beat the spread with a dominating 19-3 victory that could have been much worse had LSU not played for field goals knowing State was unable to score.

Louisiana Tech on the other hand has been very good all season long, with only losses to #3 (CFP), and #4 (AP) LSU — a game that was 24-21 in the third quarter before LSU’s depth started to overwhelm their neighbor from Ruston. Their only other loss was to a good UAB team. The LA Tech Bulldogs have a quality win against North Texas, and played LSU tougher than the Bulldogs from Starkville did.

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The bottom line is I see the LTU offense scoring at least 3 times, likely for at least 17 points, more likely 20-24. J’Mar Smith isn’t a bad quarterback and that team has capable playmakers at WR. Mississippi State on the other hand has been completely and totally unable to pass the ball more often than not this season. While Bulldog QB Nick Fitzgerald did perform better against Texas A&M, Danny Etling also nearly threw for close to 400 yards against the Aggies in last season’s finale’ while averaging half that for the season going in.

I just don’t trust Mississippi State to score the 42 or so points I think they’ll need to cover a 23 point point spread against a Louisiana Tech team whose offensive strength is the passing game, which MSU’s legitimately stout defense thrives by taking away the run first. Well, they can’t take away what isn’t there to begin with, and LA Tech has managed to go 6-1 against everyone not named LSU without much of a running game to speak of. They scored 21 on LSU, which is similar to MSU’s defense in terms of talent, only LSU’s D matches up better against LTU than State’s does since the Tigers’ strength is in its secondary.

If you’re going to be betting on college football November 03, forget LSU-Bama. Take the easy money and bet Louisiana Tech +23. They may not score 23, but they’ll score enough to beat that irrationally large point spread. MSU’s offense isn’t very good (7 or fewer points in 3 or last 5 games), and LTU’s offense is capable of moving the ball and scoring some points against MSU’s dominant defense.

*** Peter’s Pick ***

Mississippi State 27, Louisiana Tech 16

This post will be updated periodically as new odds are released, particularly the O/U (Over/Under, i.e. “point total”).

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Pelicans’ 10-Game Winning Streak: Are They Legit Contenders?

New Orleans Pelicans Looking Like Serious Contender in 10-Game Win Streak

By: Peter Egan

The New Orleans Pelicans are in unfamiliar territory. The perennially mediocre Western Conference NBA franchise is typically trying to make up ground in order just to make the playoffs around this time of the season. For much of the season, it looked like the Pels ceiling was 7th place in the West, and would have surprised no one had they finished in 10th place.

Even while they had a winning record at the time, the loss of DeMarcus Cousins sparked a downturn that saw the Pelicans fall to the 9th place position. However a free agent signing of a long-retired center and a blockbuster trade that brought the diverse Nikola Mirotic to New Orleans. After a five or six games, the Pels had lost the majority of games since the trade. Then the newly acquired players began to gel with guards Jrue Holiday, Rajon Rondo, Ian Clark and E’Twuan Moore, not to mention Anthony Davis and 3-point specialist Darius Miller (acquired from Europe in the offseason).

New Orleans Pelicans Legit Contenders

Since the team became familiar with one another, they’ve looked unbeatable. They seem unbeatable, having won 10 consecutive games, a streak second only to the West’s First-Place team, the Houston Rockets, who have won 17 in a row. During that time period, the Pels have moved from 9th place in the NBA’s Western Conference to 4th, and are only 1/2-game out of third place. The team now sits at 12 games over .500 at 38-26, well on pace to top their record the last time the team made the playoffs. That would be the ’14-’15 season, in Monty Williams’ final season as coach, when the team went 45-37 during the regular season, nearly upsetting the Spurs in the opening round of the playoffs. Had they won that game, who knows how the series would have played out, as the Pelicans traditionally play the Spurs tough.

Anthony Davis has been putting up historic numbers since Cousins’ injury, and the Pelicans appear to have figured out a way to win close games that are decided in the final few minutes.

Jrue Holiday

They also appear to have shaken their 3rd quarter woes, which have been well-documented. The Pels probably have an extra 3-4 wins had it not been for atrocious third quarters in which they blew a big halftime lead, and several close games would have never been in doubt.

In their most recent outing, a 114-101 road win over the Sacramento Kings, the Pels played the Kings to an even 23 apiece in the 3rd frame after building an 18-point halftime lead. Similarly, in their previous game before that they played the Los Angeles Clippers to a 30-30 tie in the third after the Pelicans built a 15 point halftime lead. In their win 126-109 win at Dallas, the Pels only game up 3 net points in the 3rd after building a 16 point halftime lead. The Pelicans actually outscored the San Antonio Spurs by 1 in the 3rd after San Antonio led by 9 at the break in their 121-116 loss to New Orleans.

Should the Pelicans continue this level of play through the remainder of the regular season, with 18 games remaining, the Pelicans could realistically have the conference’s best record aside from Golden State and Houston. If they revert back to their typical form since the franchise was re-branded from the Hornets to the Pelicans, they could just as possibly get edged out for the 8th and final playoff spot. As of March 08, 2018 at 7:20 pm, a grand total of 4 games separate the would-be #3 playoff seed from the #8 seed. Two additional teams (Nuggets & Jazz) are within 1/2 game of being tied with the Clippers for 8th place in the Conference.

Anthony Davis Shoots vs San Antonio Spurs

While James Harden will likely win the NBA’s MVP award for the season, a strong case can be made for Pelicans forward Anthony Davis. During the month of February, Davis averaged 35 points, 13 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 2.2 blocked shots and 2.5 steals per game, averaging 37.8 minutes per game for the month. For the season Davis is averaging 28.1 points, 11.1 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 2.3 blocks and 1.5 steals per game in 36.5 minutes.

Holiday has been playing much more aggressively lately, something the Pels need to happen if they are to have success short-term or long with the amount of money they committed to Holiday. Mirovic can score in a myriad of ways, can defend multiple positions and shoots the 3 at a high clip, even with DeMarcus Cousins out for the remainder of the season with a ruptured Achilles tendon, the Pels have plenty of firepower and there’s a legitimate debate as to whether they’re a better team in general without the superstar center.

Anthony Davis - New Orleans Pelicans

My personal hope is that the Pelicans do re-sign Cousins in the offseason, providing the Pelicans with the most dominant front-court in the NBA. I like the idea of having at least one of the two in the game at all times, and I think the improvement as a team the Pelicans have experienced since the All-Star Break would have happened anyway had Boogie been present. Those two with Rondo and Holiday as your starting guards and Mirotic at the wing (3, small forward… whatever you want to call it) is as formidable a lineup as any. That lineup, especially with guys like Ian Clark and E’Tuan Moore coming off the bench (both shoot better than Rondo fro outside), all the team lacks is depth. They need another good wing player (perhaps Solomon Hill when he returns from injury) and another big (Okafor works if he can maintain the level of play he’s provided since coming out of retirement to play for Alvin Gentry’s Pelicans, provided he wants to play another season). Cheick Diallo, while he still needs to add weight, has looked very promising as an up-and-coming young player with lots of upside. Diallo recorded 13 points and 15 rebounds in the Pels’ recent win over Dallas.

This is a Pelicans team missing one of the best players in the league and arguably the league’s best at his position to injury has played their way to hosting a playoff series if the season ended today. This is a team that at 28-26, and in 9th place in the West looked like the least likely team of the ten in contention to secure one of the top 8 spots and allow the season to continue.

Perhaps the most impressive detail about this ten-game winning streak is that seven of the ten games have been played on the road, and the Pels have played some good teams during the streak, such as the Bucks, Spurs and Clippers – all appear to be playoff-bound and all three games were on the road.

Pelicans at Bucks

At 38-26, having won ten in a row, the Pels’ next three games are winnable, at home against Washington, Utah and Charlotte. Following that are the three games that may tell us more about this Pelicans team than any they’ve played so far. The team has to go back to San Antonio and play the Spurs again, this time with a presumably healthier lineup. They then come home for games against the league-leading Rockets and one of the best teams from the Eastern Conference in the Boston Celtics.

If the Pels can figure out how to go 4-2 in those six games, I would wager that barring a major injury, the New Orleans Pelicans are going to host a playoff series this season.

If they’re good enough as built to get the 3rd or 4th seed in the West without Cousins, I think that assuming he makes a full recovery and re-signs, this team will be every bit as dangerous a title contender as the Warriors and Rockets are this year. I think this year they definitely make the playoffs, perhaps win a series, then bow out when matched up with Golden State or Houston. I think next season, the Pelicans – as constructed plus Cousins, are a legitimate title contender.

The NBA’s next “super team” may well be the New Orleans Pelicans. I think next year they’ll be a legitimate title contender that can use it’s strengths to dictate style and tempo, leveling the playing field between themselves and teams like the Rockets and Warriors.

New Orleans Pelicans

Missing Les Miles

LSU Fan Missing Les Miles

By: Peter Egan

I miss Lesticles. Of course by Lesticles I mean Leslie Edwin Miles (better knoan as “Les Miles“) former head coach of the Louisiana State University football program.

He was fired after 4 games in 2016. He had been head coach at LSU since 2005, and is the most successful coach in program history.

Les Miles (Lesticles)

When Nick Saban resigned as coach of the Miami Dolphins, he agreed to become coach at Alabama; one of LSU’s biggest rivals. The winner of the game between these two typically decides the division and who gets to go to Atlanta to play for the SEC Championship.

Saban established one the greatest dynasties in the history of the sport. All of sudden LSU couldn’t beat Bama five years in a row counting the year the two teams split two games (2011 season – LSU beat Bama in Tuscaloosa during a 13-0 regular season, but lost in the national championship in what has come to be known as the “mulligan game.”

Les Miles

I From what I’ve seen so far really dislike the LSU football team’s new attempt at offense. For all the criticisms Les Miles took for his style of play, his offenses were never as futile as the Tigers have been through four games.

The motion at the line of scrimmage has reduced LSU’s average yards per carry by approximately 2/YPC. That differences on 0ffense is that the runs are designed t0 gain 4-5 yards as opposed to the 6 and 7 yards LSU backs have averaged the past two seasons and three of the last four.

Les was done wrong by Joe Alleva, F. King Alexander and the LSU administration.

He legitimately won the Auburn game the day before his firing. Go back and watch the clock on the final drive. The clock didn’t stop on first downs and runs out-of-bounds on e separate occasions. That’s easily 25-30 second left in that game when Etling hit the winning TD pass that was overruled because the 25 seconds remaining showed as “0” on the scoreboard.

If Les gets credit for that win his team legitimately won, he’s 3-1 with the only loss being a nail biter against a team that played in a major bowl and nearly won the Big 10 (SIC) [14]. He probably looses to Bama, but if the offense under Miles could score 11 points they may well have won that game too. They sure as he’ll wouldn’t have lost to Florida.

Les Miles LSU

If Miles is never fired, LSU goes 10-2 or at worst 9-3 (if they lose the bowl) last year, makes the Sugar Bowl and is 4-0 to start this season instead or 3-1. LSU Made a terrible mistake firing Miles.

I could very easily see the 2017 team going 4-8 or 5-7, a feat not accomplished since the ’90’s.

Les’ teams were tough, and could impose their will with ease against teams that didn’t have the talent, size, speed or most importantly physicality.

Les Miles won the SEC West 3 times as coach as LSU. He eon the conference championship twice, and played in two national championship games, winning one (2007 over Ohio State 38-24).

During his 11.33 seasons as LSU’s head coach, there were seven games total in which the Tigers scored a 10 points or less and lost. Ed Orgeron, Miles successor had 3 such games out of his first 11 contests.

LSU Head Coach Ed Orgeron

LSU fans didn’t appreciate what they has in Les Miles, and are finding out the hard way just how disastrous a decision was made on their behalf by Joe Alleva.

Peter Egan likes to write about a variety of topics including home health care, nutrition, wellness, fishing and other sports.