LA Tech vs Mississippi State game 11-3 Seems Like Easy Money

FREE Pick: Bet LA Tech +23 @ Miss State

By: Peter Egan of WePick.com (Read More on WePick.com)

Bet LA Tech (+23) to Beat the Spread at Miss State

One thing I can absolutely guarantee about the game between Louisiana Tech and Mississippi State on November 03, 2018, is that the Bulldogs are as safe a bet as I’ve seen all year.

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs that is to say. Louisiana Tech has been an underrated football team all year. The thought of picking against them as a 23-point underdog to a one-dimensional football team whose offense has scored 7 or fewer points in three of it’s last five games is difficult to fathom.

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Vegas has been artificially high on Mississippi State at times this season, most recently the weekend before last against LSU, when the line broke sharply toward MSU as kickoff approached. LSU easily beat the spread with a dominating 19-3 victory that could have been much worse had LSU not played for field goals knowing State was unable to score.

Louisiana Tech on the other hand has been very good all season long, with only losses to #3 (CFP), and #4 (AP) LSU — a game that was 24-21 in the third quarter before LSU’s depth started to overwhelm their neighbor from Ruston. Their only other loss was to a good UAB team. The LA Tech Bulldogs have a quality win against North Texas, and played LSU tougher than the Bulldogs from Starkville did.

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The bottom line is I see the LTU offense scoring at least 3 times, likely for at least 17 points, more likely 20-24. J’Mar Smith isn’t a bad quarterback and that team has capable playmakers at WR. Mississippi State on the other hand has been completely and totally unable to pass the ball more often than not this season. While Bulldog QB Nick Fitzgerald did perform better against Texas A&M, Danny Etling also nearly threw for close to 400 yards against the Aggies in last season’s finale’ while averaging half that for the season going in.

I just don’t trust Mississippi State to score the 42 or so points I think they’ll need to cover a 23 point point spread against a Louisiana Tech team whose offensive strength is the passing game, which MSU’s legitimately stout defense thrives by taking away the run first. Well, they can’t take away what isn’t there to begin with, and LA Tech has managed to go 6-1 against everyone not named LSU without much of a running game to speak of. They scored 21 on LSU, which is similar to MSU’s defense in terms of talent, only LSU’s D matches up better against LTU than State’s does since the Tigers’ strength is in its secondary.

If you’re going to be betting on college football November 03, forget LSU-Bama. Take the easy money and bet Louisiana Tech +23. They may not score 23, but they’ll score enough to beat that irrationally large point spread. MSU’s offense isn’t very good (7 or fewer points in 3 or last 5 games), and LTU’s offense is capable of moving the ball and scoring some points against MSU’s dominant defense.

*** Peter’s Pick ***

Mississippi State 27, Louisiana Tech 16

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Missing Les Miles

LSU Fan Missing Les Miles

By: Peter Egan

I miss Lesticles. Of course by Lesticles I mean Leslie Edwin Miles (better knoan as “Les Miles“) former head coach of the Louisiana State University football program.

He was fired after 4 games in 2016. He had been head coach at LSU since 2005, and is the most successful coach in program history.

Les Miles (Lesticles)

When Nick Saban resigned as coach of the Miami Dolphins, he agreed to become coach at Alabama; one of LSU’s biggest rivals. The winner of the game between these two typically decides the division and who gets to go to Atlanta to play for the SEC Championship.

Saban established one the greatest dynasties in the history of the sport. All of sudden LSU couldn’t beat Bama five years in a row counting the year the two teams split two games (2011 season – LSU beat Bama in Tuscaloosa during a 13-0 regular season, but lost in the national championship in what has come to be known as the “mulligan game.”

Les Miles

I From what I’ve seen so far really dislike the LSU football team’s new attempt at offense. For all the criticisms Les Miles took for his style of play, his offenses were never as futile as the Tigers have been through four games.

The motion at the line of scrimmage has reduced LSU’s average yards per carry by approximately 2/YPC. That differences on 0ffense is that the runs are designed t0 gain 4-5 yards as opposed to the 6 and 7 yards LSU backs have averaged the past two seasons and three of the last four.

Les was done wrong by Joe Alleva, F. King Alexander and the LSU administration.

He legitimately won the Auburn game the day before his firing. Go back and watch the clock on the final drive. The clock didn’t stop on first downs and runs out-of-bounds on e separate occasions. That’s easily 25-30 second left in that game when Etling hit the winning TD pass that was overruled because the 25 seconds remaining showed as “0” on the scoreboard.

If Les gets credit for that win his team legitimately won, he’s 3-1 with the only loss being a nail biter against a team that played in a major bowl and nearly won the Big 10 (SIC) [14]. He probably looses to Bama, but if the offense under Miles could score 11 points they may well have won that game too. They sure as he’ll wouldn’t have lost to Florida.

Les Miles LSU

If Miles is never fired, LSU goes 10-2 or at worst 9-3 (if they lose the bowl) last year, makes the Sugar Bowl and is 4-0 to start this season instead or 3-1. LSU Made a terrible mistake firing Miles.

I could very easily see the 2017 team going 4-8 or 5-7, a feat not accomplished since the ’90’s.

Les’ teams were tough, and could impose their will with ease against teams that didn’t have the talent, size, speed or most importantly physicality.

Les Miles won the SEC West 3 times as coach as LSU. He eon the conference championship twice, and played in two national championship games, winning one (2007 over Ohio State 38-24).

During his 11.33 seasons as LSU’s head coach, there were seven games total in which the Tigers scored a 10 points or less and lost. Ed Orgeron, Miles successor had 3 such games out of his first 11 contests.

LSU Head Coach Ed Orgeron

LSU fans didn’t appreciate what they has in Les Miles, and are finding out the hard way just how disastrous a decision was made on their behalf by Joe Alleva.

Peter Egan likes to write about a variety of topics including home health care, nutrition, wellness, fishing and other sports.